October 17, 2002
Predictions
(via Scott Loftesness) Gartner's ten predictions for the next eight years. My take on some of these:
- Bandwidth becomes more cost effective than computing. No. Bandwidth does increase fast - and in bigger jumps than desktop performance. But the edge is more mobile than the center.
- Most major applications will be interenterprise Yes, but "soft" interenterprise interactions are far more tractable (with stuff like Groove) than "hard", process-driven, structured integration.
- Macroecononic boost from interenterprise systems Yes, I hope so :-)
- Successful firms in strong economy lay off millions and I hope not...!
- Moore's Law continues to hold true through this decade Yes. There are some limits in wait, though. I don't think we'll see multiprocessor desktops in abundance, because of the margin those guys take. And 32-bit NT/XP has a 2Gb RAM limitation, so we'll be moving to 64 sooner rather than later.
- Banks become primary provider of presence services by 2007 Interesting. Unlikely, but interesting...
vcard
| January 2005 | ||||||
| S | M | T | W | T | F | S |
| 1 | ||||||
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
| 30 | 31 | |||||
archives:
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004
September 2004
August 2004
July 2004
June 2004
May 2004
April 2004
March 2004
February 2004
January 2004
December 2003
November 2003
October 2003
September 2003
August 2003
July 2003
June 2003
May 2003
April 2003
March 2003
February 2003
January 2003
December 2002
November 2002
October 2002
September 2002
August 2002
July 2002
June 2002
May 2002
April 2002
March 2002
February 2002
January 2002
December 2001
November 2001
October 2001
September 2001
August 2001
July 2001
June 2001
see also:
{groove:
[ ray,
matt,
paresh,
mike,
jeff,
john ],
other:
[ /* more blogroll to follow */ ]
}
The views expressed on this weblog are mine alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of my employer.
RSS 2.0
RSS 1.0
